Tuesday, March 3, 2009

ACC Bubble Teams

For Sure In:

UNC
- 25-3 (11-3)
Duke - 24-5 (10-4)
Wake -
22-5 (9-5)
FSU -
22-7 (9-5)
Clemson -
22-6 (8-6)

Most Likely:

BC -
20-9 (8-6) - They are 7-5 over their last 12 games with huge wins over Duke and Florida State. They also close out the season with a fairly easy two games against NC St and GT. The only reason I don't have them as for sure in, is that their out of conference play was not impressive and consisted of losses to Saint Louis and Harvard. However, they have been playing very well of late and should finish 22-9 (10-6).
Verdict: IN
If they finish as projected, they should have zero trouble getting in regardless of ACC Tournament play. Tyrese Rice is a baller and should guarantee at least one tourney win, locking them a spot in the dance.

Bubble Teams:

Maryland -
18-10 (7-7) - They are 6-6 in their last 12 games with a big time win over the Tarheels. However they must conclude the regular season with a home game against Wake (tonight at 9) and at Virginia. I'm feeling the Terps losing their final 2 games and falling to 18-12 (7-9). This would mean that they would have to do some serious work in the ACC tourney to make it in the field of 65, I'm talking make it to the finals. They did beat Michigan State during out of conference play, but also lost to Georgetown, Gonzaga, and MORGAN STATE!
Verdict: OUT
This team isn't very good and really only beat UNC because Greivis Vasquez decided to blow up and score 35 points. If he doesn't produce for the Terps, you can check one in the loss column.

VT - 17-11 (7-7) - The Hokies have split their last 12 games, going 6-6 including wins at Wake, at Miami, and at Clemson. Yes, they did get shafted in their game against Duke, but the fact of the matter is, they lost. Their out of conference play was disastrous. They lost to Xavier, Seton Hall, Wisconsin, and Georgia. While Tech is a very good team, they still have a tough road ahead of them consisting of a home game against UNC and their finale at FSU. I think they'll split these games and finish 18-11 (8-8). But don't be surprised it Tech surprises people and wins out the regular season.
Verdict: IN
It pains me to say it, but I think the Hokies make it in this year. They remember last year when they barely didn't make the tourney, and will play their best ball down the stretch. If they split their final 2 regular season games, they will have to win at least one game in the ACC tournament to get in. They are capable of doing just that.

Miami -
17-10 (6-8) - They are 5-7 in their last 12 games, but conclude the regular season against cellar dwellers GT and NC St. Look for the Canes to finish 19-10 (8-8). They beat Kentucky in out of conference play and suffered narrow losses to Ohio State and Connecticut. The Canes have swept BC, beaten Wake, Maryland, and FSU, and lost to Duke in O.T.
Verdict: IN
If they finish as projected, they will have won their final 4 games to conclude their ACC schedule with a .500 record. They will need a win in the ACC Tourney to lock up their spot, but with Jack McClinton, that is something they can manage.

The ACC gets 8 teams in to match the Big East.

Things are getting real interesting now in the ACC as teams are vying for spots in the big dance, and a first round bye in the ACC tournament. Florida State and Clemson are currently sitting at 4th and 5th, and the top 4 teams get a bye. Florida State meets Duke tonight in a huge game at Cameron. Clemson hosts Virginia tonight (no preview - sorry, UVA is gonna lose) in a game that is just as important, but more winnable. FSU will have to be rolling if they want to defeat Duke and hold on to their 4th place spot. Gotta love this time of year.

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